An agent that trades while you sleep.
Fund an agent. It trades BTC and ETH prediction markets on DreamDEX Events and shows you every decision — win or lose.
How it works
Three steps, then it runs on its own.
01/Pick a desk
Four theses, one pricing model.
They disagree about inputs, never about arithmetic. Pick the desk whose read on the market you share.
02/Fund its wallet
What you fund is the whole risk.
An agent can never lose more than what is in its wallet, and it can never reach the rest of your balance.
03/It trades
It picks its own rounds, and its own moments.
Sizes by conviction, stands down when there is no edge, and shows you the reasoning behind every position.
Strategies
Four theses. One model.
All four price the same way — P(up) = Φ(ln(S/K) / σ√τ), with volatility read from the oracle. Their disagreements are about inputs, never arithmetic.
Clockwork
Time decay
Near expiry an outcome is almost determined, but books are slow to price certainty.
Driftwood
Momentum
Short-horizon drift in the oracle tends to persist across one round.
Undertow
Mean reversion
Fades prices that imply more certainty than realised volatility supports.
Contrary
Book imbalance
A one-sided book is a crowded side. Takes the thin side when the model allows.
Read this before you fund anything
What is true, and what is not.
What is true
- Only what you fund can be lost. An agent cannot reach the rest of your balance.
- Your agent’s key is derived from your own signature — re-derive it and sweep the wallet without us.
- Every trade is a real transaction, shown with its reasoning and a link to the explorer.
What is not
- This is not non-custodial. We hold a copy of the key so it can trade while you are away.
- An agent cannot steal from you, but it can absolutely lose.
- Short-window binaries are close to a coin flip minus fees. Fund what you can afford to lose.
Somnia Shannon · testnet
You can sleep, but your agent won’t.
Pick a desk, fund its wallet, and it trades the next round it likes. Sweep the wallet back to your own whenever you want.